There seemed to be indecision on social media over how this game would turn out. Bayern were certainly priced as the favourites, but some suggested Barcelona had been overlooked. History certainly favoured the German side, with Bayern having hammered Barca 7-0 over two legs in the 2012/13 Champions League semi-final. Four players from each side stayed with their respective teams to feature on Friday night, while Thiago made the move from Barca to Bayern in 2013. It’s safe to say that Thiago’s move put him on the right side of the result on Friday night, as Bayern put EIGHT past Marc-Andre ter Stegen in the Barca goal.
Having written a blog post about Robert Lewandowski’s monstrous campaign so far, it would’ve been nice to see him take the game’s SuperStack prize. While he notched a goal and an assist to continue his vein of fine form (74p payout), he was beaten by strike partner Thomas Muller who caused havoc from his deeper role. Lewandowski had four shots on target in addition to his goal, and his late surge (below) created plenty of opportunities to make money for traders. Muller, who bagged three in the 2012/13 tie, opened the scoring on Friday, added another before half-time and assisted Philippe Coutinho to finish on 79p.
Speaking of Coutinho, the Brazilian playmaker came off the bench to haunt his parent club in what is perhaps the best SportStack trade we have seen to date. He made his entrance in the 75th minute, at which point he was available to buy for around 14p (chart below). He assisted Lewandowski for his goal before scoring two of his own. It is a damning indictment of Barcelona’s heirarchy that they have failed to get anything out of a player of such quality (who cost them in excess of £100m) and farmed him out to a CL rival. It speaks to Barca’s fall from grace as one of Europe’s giants.
With Bayern having scored so many goals, it is little surprise that their line-up was littered with strong payouts. Serge Gnabry earned 65p with a goal and assist to his name, while Leon Goreztka, Joshua Kimmich and Alphonso Davies paid out 55p, 54p and 53p respectively. If we’re trying to conjure up positives from Barca’s performance, one would be that they tested Manuel Neuer enough for him to earn a base payout of 32p and a total payout of 47p – but that isn’t saying much.
For the sheer number of goals that Barcelona shipped, it is interesting that we didn’t see any negative base payouts – usually it requires an error leading to goal, penalty given away, or red card to send a base payout into negative territory. There were a couple of players that went close, though. Sergi Roberto was subbed at half time on a payout of just 9p, making for a wonderful short trade. His base payout was only 4p. Arturo Vidal somehow managed to avoid being subbed, but this was to the detriment of his SportStack payout, as he finished on 4p (below); that is a 3p base payout which included an added-time yellow card.
Given the score it is unsurprising that there was great money to be made from shorting Lionel Messi again. He paid out just 18p with Barca offering very little going forward, but a base score of 17p in such a game really isn’t too bad.
As with yesterday, we’re giving you a little insight to what we’re looking at trading on SportStack. Lineups are pretty much as expected, but we’ve got them in below for you, when the lineups are confirmed at 19:00 – This will automatically update
Robert Lewandowski – Long, currently 64p, we got him at 57/58p
The man is simply a goal machine. He’s chasing the record for most Champions League goals in a season, and if you’ve checked out our recent blog post, you’ll see his SportStack stats are something else!
He paid out just 49p in his last outing against Barcelona with a goal, although he should’ve arguably got a second. His involvement was poor throughout, making only three ball recoveries and two CBIs. The risks here lie in him scoring early on, or if he can be a little more clinical with his shooting overall! However, if you’re able to trade it in play, a quiet first 15-20 minutes should see you in profit, and as a candidate for an early substitution, there may be opportunities to short during the first half.